Saturday, January 23, 2010
NFC Championship Preview: Brees Better Bet Than Favre
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
NFL Power Rankings Top 15 Championship Week
- Colts (14-2)- Colts looked fresh and hungry for a title
- Saints (13-3)-Picked up where they left off in Week 14
- Vikings (12-4)-Greater energy overwhelmed 'Boys at line
- Jets (9-7)- Two dimensions and the Dilfer approach works
- Chargers (13-3)- Fell apart in 2nd half in all 3 phases
- Cowboys(11-5)-Was this the same team that crushed Philly?
- Packers (11-5)-Best team out of the Super Bowl hunt
- Cardinals (10-6)-Rested Saints beat up Warner and Cards
- Ravens (9-7)- Colts dared Ravens to win via the air
- Eagles (11-5)-No more "do overs", season's over
- Patriots (10-6)-What happened to "The Team of the Decade?"
- Bengals (10-6)- Crashed after a promising start to season
- Steelers (9-7)- Pulled out another- but too little, too late
- Texans (9-7)- First winning season, but no postseason
- Falcons (9-7)- Strong finish to disappointing season
Friday, January 15, 2010
NFL Divisional Playoff Preview- Part 1
One of the best sports weekends of the year kicks off tomorrow with the NFL Divisional Playoffs. Fans are treated to two full days of action with this year's slate featuring some especially compelling match-ups. A solid argument can be made for any of the eight participating teams to advance to next week's Championship Games.
An interesting aspect, albeit to the chagrin of some NFL traditionalists, relates to the fact that weather will not be a factor in any of the four contests. There will be no frozen tundra this week with three games played in domes and the fourth being hosted in temperate San Diego. Accordingly, all of this weekend's action will be determined based on strategy, preparation and execution.
Of course, the four teams that spent the previous weekend resting and watching the Wild Card round by virtue of their well earned seedings have a little bit of a jump start on their opponents. This has been less of an advantage in recent years, especially a year ago when three visiting teams advanced. Here is a preview of what to expect in Saturday's games, including my predictions on the eventual outcome. Neither pick is made with a great deal of conviction.
Arizona (11-6) at New Orleans (13-3) - Saturday, 4:30 PM ET
The Cardinals head to New Orleans fresh off one of the most action packed and thrilling playoff games in NFL history. Arizona's overtime victory came on a defensive score after three hours of trading touchdowns with the Green Bay Packers in a game that looked like a cross between Arena Football and an NCAA tie breaker.
Like a year ago, the Cardinals were led by senior statesman Kurt Warner, who posted some other worldly numbers. Despite missing one of his star receivers, Warner connected on almost 88% of his 33 pass attempts for 379 yards and 5 TD's.
Because he got a late start in his career, and was once prematurely considered washed up after being hampered by a thumb injury, Warner is arguably the most underrated quarterback in the league's history.
Speculation has begun to grow that the Cardinals signal caller may call it quits after this season, but fans can be heartened by living in the present and knowing that Warner gives them a shot to win against anybody. After prevailing in last week's dramatic shootout against a very talented Packers team, the Cardinals have been rewarded with facing the NFC's top seed on enemy turf, so once again, the team's hopes will rest firmly in Warner's capable hands.
It appears that wide receiver Anquin Boldin will be shut down once again due to multiple leg injuries. Accordingly, the team will rely heavily on Pro Bowl receiver and part-time acrobat Larry Fitzgerald along with Steve Breaston and Early Doucet.
On offense, the Cardinals match up very favorably. They will likely keep the ball in the air, while discriminately mixing in the run to keep defenders honest, as they try to exploit the Saints 26th ranked pass unit. The hallmark of the Saints defense has been creating turnovers, so if the Cardinals can avoid turnovers, they very well could outscore their opponents for a second consecutive week.
While this is a positive view, it also implies that Arizona's biggest challenge will be keeping Drew Brees and company out of the end zone. The Saints feature the NFL's most prolific offense, having averaged more than 400 yards and almost 32 points per game. These numbers are even a little watered down by the final couple games when the team was playing out the string.
In my book, Brees should have been the NFL's Most Valuable Player this season. He finished the season with a 109.6 quarterback rating on the strength of a 71% completion percentage, just shy of 300 yards per game and 34 TD's. Regardless of what may not being sitting on his mantle, the Cardinals surely realize the challenge they face in trying to slow him down.
Like their opponent, the Saints will also try to take advantage of a Cardinals pass defense that finished three spots higher in the regular season, and was torched by Aaron Rodgers for 422 yards last Sunday. But similar to New Orleans, the calling card of the Cards unit is forcing turnovers, both by jumping routes and stripping balls.
Vegas has established the over/under for this game at 57 points. Although hefty by normal standards, this seems light to me. Expect another highly entertaining shootout with the game coming down to a missed field goal or a key turnover. Because neither team will be able to stop the other, I anticipate that a gambling play by Darren Sharper or a member of the Cards aggressive secondary will tip the game one way or the other.
Cardinals 42
Saints 44
Baltimore (10-7) at Indianapolis (14-2) - Saturday, 8:15 PM ET
With adrenaline still pumping from a thrilling opening game, NFL fans will switch over to catch the nightcap featuring two bitter rivals. The Ravens travel to Indianapolis to face the formerly beloved team that picked up and left Baltimore in the dark of the night.
The city endured a dozen years without an NFL team before they wooed away Cleveland's franchise. In a complicated twist, the team was renamed the Ravens, while Cleveland was awarded an expansion team and the "Browns" name. All this is to set the stage that there is still lingering hostility in Baltimore towards the Colts franchise, so a lust for revenge provides added incentive to the fans, if not the players.
On the surface, by virtue of the teams' respective regular season records, the Colts would seem to be heavy favorites, but the late season trends would indicate otherwise. The Colts rolled to 14 straight wins and appeared poised to run the table, until rookie head coach Jim Caldwell suddenly pulled Peyton Manning in Week 16. The move resulted in a loss of the game and possibly the spirit of his players.
Conversely, the Ravens finished the season on a high note after being up and down all season. They have won four of the last five games, including a surprising blowout of the Patriots last weekend in Foxboro. And, importantly, the team seems to match-up well against a Colts team that narrowly beat them in Week 11.
After struggling early in the season, the vaunted Ravens defense has come together in the latter part of the season, finishing third in both total yards and points allowed. They also play an attacking style that forces turnovers and can make for a very long day for even the best opposing QB's.
The Colts, of course, feature one of the all-time best in reigning MVP Peyton Manning, who continues to build his resume over 12 seasons. Manning earned his fourth MVP trophy by leading his team to the most wins, while racking up 4500 yards and 33 TD's. As usual, he will look to spread the ball around, but will surely keep a heavy focus on his top two pass catchers, Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark.
Indianapolis will find difficulty establishing anything on the ground against the Ravens stout run defense. Veteran Joseph Addai is not quite the same back he was a couple years ago. In order to compensate, Manning will try to hit Addai in the flat to open up opportunities down the field.
On the offensive side, the Ravens match up well with the Colts. Second year running back Ray Rice has emerged as a star, finishing with more than 2,000 yards in combined rushing and receiving yardage this season. He also comes into the game with the "hot hand" (or "hot quads") having compiled 159 rushing yards against the Patriots. Meanwhile, Indianapolis has struggled against the run, finishing 24th in the NFL.
The Colts defense fares a little better against the pass, but Baltimore's second year signal caller Joe Flacco will be constrained by a conservative game plan. Head coach John Harbaugh will be perfectly intent to rely on his tough defense along with Rice and back-up Willis McGahee to keep the ball out of Manning's hands.
A Ravens upset would not be surprising at all. This could become reality if Indianapolis falls behind early and then looks to Manning to lead a comeback as it did so often during the season. If the game stays close, the experience edge of Manning over Flacco should prove to be the difference.
Ravens 20
Colts 23
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
NFL Power Rankings Top 15 Divisional Playoffs
Four teams rested and watched Wild Card weekend by virtue of their well earned byes. Accordingly, the head coaches of those teams should not entail any problems with motivation as the victors stated their case as worthy opponents.
In the NFC, the Cowboys surely got the undivided attention of the Vikings players with another domination of the Philadelphia Eagles. The 'Boys followed their season ending masterpiece with an encore performance that may have been even more impressive. With memories of the Vikings and Saints late season failings, Dallas now appears to be the NFC team to beat and have vaulted up in the rankings.
Of course, a week of rest and "home dome advantage" provide an edge to the Vikings as they host the white-hot Cowboys. And, Minnesota was at least able to recover from a 3-game losing streak in December by crushing the disinterested Giants in the regular season finale, so the self doubt swirling in players heads may have been erased.
New Orleans had looked like the team to beat all season, but questions and concerns have emerged after its own 3-game reverse trifecta to close out the season. The NFL's most prolific offense wilted down the stretch and their defense showed some cracks.
Kurt Warner's and the Cardinals' playoff performance has Arizona fans buzzing about a repeat of last year's magical postseason run and Saints coaches feverishly studying game film. This week has the look of another shootout in New Orleans that could take 50 points again to win.
In Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers has made it easy for fans to forget Brett Favre. Rodgers has clearly arrived as a top flight NFL quarterback and although his team heads home for the winter, they made their case as the best team not still in the hunt. In fact, they are better than some of the teams still playing this weekend.
Like the Saints and Vikings, the Colts closed a highly successful regular season with a dismal finish. Head Coach Jim Caldwell elected to pull MVP Peyton Manning and the plug on a chance at perfection in Week 16. Although most players expressed support of their rookie coach, disappointment was plainly apparent. With the decision and a pair of losses, the excitement of chasing a special place in NFL history shifted to questions whether the team could overcome the nemesis Chargers?
After watching the Ravens dismantle "The Team of the Decade" in the first round, memories of previous season's early exits must be running through Colts players minds. Baltimore possesses a scary defense, a strong running game with the emergence of Ray Rice and a solid second year quarterback in Joe Flacco. A turnover here or there and 14 straight victories to start the season might be ancient history.
Although they ended the season with an 11-game winning streak and jumped to the top of our rankings, the Chargers realize that Sunday's game will be "no gimme." The Jets come to town full of Rex Ryan fueled adrenaline and a lock-down corner in Darrelle Revis who has the ability to disrupt an entire game plan. Charles Woodson had a great season, but Revis should have been the "Defensive Player of the Year."
Based on their lackluster playoff performances, the Eagles, Patriots and Bengals all fall in the rankings. The abrupt ending to their seasons and the manner in which it occurred, have all three heading into the off season with many questions to address. Meanwhile, the other first round loser, has "Cheese-Heads" already counting the days to training camp.
- Chargers (13-3)- Will be challenged by Jets Reves-led D
- Colts (14-2)- Can players move past disappointment?
- Cowboys(11-5)-Ho hum, another Philly route, Vikes next?
- Saints (13-3)-Looking to end losing ways with shootout
- Packers (11-5)-Best team out of the Super Bowl hunt
- Vikings (12-4)-Hoping home dome advantage slows 'Boys
- Ravens (9-7)- Can they repeat performance against Colts?
- Jets (9-7)- Ryan has them believing in New York with Reves
- Cardinals (10-6)-Spell "prolific"- W-A-R-N-E-R, need some D
- Eagles (11-5)-No more "do overs", season's over
- Patriots (10-6)-What happened to "The Team of the Decade?"
- Bengals (10-6)- Crashed after a promising start to season
- Steelers (9-7)- Pulled out another- but too little, too late
- Texans (9-7)- First winning season, but no postseason
- Falcons (9-7)- Strong finish to disappointing season
Saturday, December 26, 2009
NFL Power Rankings-Top 15....Week 16
While one team fell from the undefeated ranks, and another continued in its path of perfection, two teams furthered their upward ascension. The San Diego Chargers doubled down, adding two more wins to extend its winning streak to 10. In the NFC, the Eagles ran their streak to 5, clinching a playoff berth along the way.
The New Orleans Saints were soundly defeated by a Dallas Cowboys team motivated to change its recent late season trend of futility. Along the way, they provided a glimmer of hope to other NFC hopefuls by making the Saints look a little less invincible. The win also restored faith amongst its fan base and positioned the Cowboys for a shot at winning the NFC East if they can win out.
Besides the Saints, the Vikings came back to the pack as well after falling badly for the second time in three games. This time they lost to a struggling Panthers team and had problems on both sides of the ball. Additonal warning alarms were sounded when an ongoing tension between Brett Favre and Brad Childress became publicized after the contest. Although both parties claim to have things patched up, the underlying power tug-o-war surely could surface as the team heads into a post season that now seems a little more treacherous.
The rest of the NFC hopefuls include Arizona, Green Bay and the surging New York Giants. With memories of last year's post season run still present in many minds, the Cardinals can not be discounted despite a disappointingly inconsistent season. Although they lost to the Steelers on the final play in possibly the game of the year, the Packers have the ingredients to be a force in the playoffs. And, many are still not writing off the Giants who have looked unstoppable on offense for the 2 1/2 games.
In the AFC, the undefeated Colts appear poised to run the table depenedent upon their level of caution. They surely are keeping their eyes on the Chargers, who have been their nemisis in years past. None of the other AFC teams appear to have the consistency or balance to threaten either team.
- Colts (14-0)- Poised for undefeated season if regulars play
- Saints (13-1)-Cowboys needed the game a little more
- Chargers (12-3)- Two more wins makes 10 straight
- Vikings (11-3)-Lost 2 of 3 with Favre and Childress feuding
- Eagles (10-4)-Offense leads team to 5th straight win
- Packers (9-5)-Looking strong despite Steelers last gasp win
- Cowboys(9-5)-Confidence soaring after big win in N'Awlins
- Bengals (9-5)- Last second loss pales to loss of Henry
- Cardinals (9-5)-Clinched division, but still up and down
- Giants (8-6)-Offense rolling keeps them as media darlings
- Patriots (9-5)-Playoff worthy, but have holes
- Ravens (8-6)- 79-10 past two weeks, is it them or opponent
- Broncos (8-6)-Hanging on for playoff spot after 6-0 start
- Dolphins (7-7)- Tough loss, but still in contention
- Jacksonville (7-7)-Two tough losses could put them out of race
Saturday, December 19, 2009
NFL Power Rankings Top 15 Week 15
- Saints (13-0)-Biggest remaining obstacle tonight vs 'Boys
- Colts (14-0)- 2 wins in 5 days has them 2 from perfect
- Vikings (11-2)-Rebound with dominating win over Bengals
- Chargers (10-3)- 8th straight win, could run the table
- Packers (9-4)-They're for real, but face desperate Steelers
- Eagles (9-4)-Win shoot out in Jersey to take 1st place
- Bengals (9-4)- Crushed by Vikes, now face Bolts
- Cardinals (8-5)-Same old story of up and down play
- Broncos (8-5)-Still looking like a 10 win team
- Cowboys(8-5)-So far another December to forget
- Patriots (8-5)-Remain perfect at home, but have issues
- Giants (7-6)-Media can't hype them to 1st place in NFC East
- Dolphins (7-6)- Hanging in race despite losing QB and top RB
- Ravens (7-6)-Have potential, but can't find any consistency
- Titans (6-7)-Remember the Titans, they could still sneak in
- Jacksonville (7-7)-Two tough losses could put them out of race
Saturday, December 12, 2009
NFL Power Rankings Top 15 Week 14
- Saints (12-0)-Capitalize on good fortune in come from behind win
- Colts (12-0)- Eliminate the drama and clinch division
- Vikings (10-2)-Come up flat against Cardinals
- Chargers (9-3)- 7th straight win keeps them out front in West
- Bengals (9-3)- Ride the defense to 3 game division lead
- Packers (8-4)-Another impressive win against Ravens
- Eagles (8-4)-Thinking division title with easy win, mending players
- Cardinals (8-4)-Shut down rampaging Vikings
- Broncos (8-4)-Offense gets rolling again, thinking playoffs
- Cowboys(8-4)-Outplay Giants, but lose game
- Patriots (7-5)-Defense struggling and no magic from Brady
- Giants (7-5)-Suddenly get life and knock off Cowboys
- Jacksonville (7-5)-Keep on coming, take big win vs Texans
- Ravens (6-6)-Packers too much, Flacco too little
- Titans (5-7)-Not quite ready for prime time, lose to Colts
Saturday, December 5, 2009
NFL Power Rankings Top 15 Week 13
Although the Saints and Colts both remain undefeated after 11 games led by their MVP caliber quarterbacks, they are doing it in very different fashions. New Orleans faced what many thought to be their stiffest challenge on Monday night when they hosted the New England Patriots, but quickly dismantled them, rolling up an impressive 38-17 win. Meanwhile, Indianapolis invoked the same formula they have using for several weeks, appearing poised to be defeated before being rescued by Peyton Manning in the fourth quarter.
While all eyes watch anxiously to see if these teams can craft unbeaten seasons, another team lurks behind them that may have better overall talent. The Vikings have no discernible weakness and keep on rolling along with a mid-season loss in Pittsburgh being their only blemish. Brett Favre appears to have found cryogenics or been living with the De Leon family in his extended offseason as he assembles the best season of his career at the advanced football age of 40. The Vikings already had the best running back in football, a strong offensive line and an excellent defense, but in addition to Favre, they have developed a talented set of receivers and the best special teams unit.
These three teams are clearly the class of the league right now, although San Diego keeps on charging upward. With the Patriots defense looking very vulnerable, the Chargers appear to be the Colts most legitimate challenger in the AFC, but no one should discount Bill Belichick's and Tom Brady's ability to make a run. The Bengals also find themselves standing at 8-3 like the Chargers, but do not possess the same air of confidence. And, the other 8-3 team, the Dallas Cowboys, continue to win, although doubt still remains due to their offensive inconsistency.
Their NFC East rival Eagles are keeping pace one game behind them by finding ways to win while the team is depleted. Donovan McNabb has led two consecutive come from behind wins. The Eagles hope to stay within striking distance until they can get some of their injured players back on the field and playing at full strength. If they do, they are the third best team in the NFC and the fourth best team in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers have jumped ahead of them and a few other teams in the current rankings by virtue of a potent offense and a promising defense. Aaron Rodgers is playing like a Pro Bowler while Charles Woodson is performing like the "Defensive Player of the Year." Last year's NFC champs continue a pattern of inconsistency, but are a scary team on any given week when led by Kurt Warner. Despite his absence due to a concussion last week, it took a Tennessee Titans touchdown at the final gun to knock off the Cardinals.
Speaking of the Titans, their 0-6 start had teams forgetting about them, but they are quickly emerging as a team to remember. Vince Young has taken over at the helm by order of the owner, and has them on a 5-game winning streak. Although they still have a losing record, they are now a formidable team that will challenge the Colts unbeaten string this week. The Broncos have had an almost polar opposite season, starting out 6-0, before losing four straight and finally righting themselves with a win over the Giants.
The Steelers, Giants and Ravens have all been impacted by injuries, but are also the three most disappointing teams in the NFL. At this point, none of them would seem poised to get things together and become a serious contender. With Eli Manning potentially on the verge of being shut down for the season, Brandon Jacobs playing soft and the defense in disarray, the Giants could find themselves packing in their hopes for the season shortly.
- Saints (11-0)-Brees has what it takes to win Super Bowl
- Vikings (10-1)-Keep on rolling up easy wins led by Favre
- Colts (11-0)- Same old formula- fall behind and then win again
- Chargers (8-3)- Keep getting better, Colts only AFC challenger?
- Bengals (8-3)- Offensive line leads rebound from bad loss
- Cowboys(8-3)-Hope to build on solid win to convince doubters
- Packers (7-4)-Looking look like a very solid playoff team
- Eagles (7-4)-McNabb leading depleted team to gut check wins
- Patriots (7-4)-Holes in secondary proving to be achilles heal
- Cardinals (7-4)-Heart breaking loss without Warner
- Titans (5-6)-Rolling behind Young after terrible start
- Steelers (6-5)-Loss to KC has many questioning prospects
- Broncos (7-4)-Finally open the parachute after long free fall
- Giants (6-5)-Lost all confidence, but still have talent to rebound
- Ravens (6-5)-Defense gives them a chance every week