Showing posts with label NFL playoffs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL playoffs. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

NFL Power Rankings Top 15 Divisional Playoffs

Philadelphia Eagles v Dallas Cowboys - Wild Card Round

Four teams rested and watched Wild Card weekend by virtue of their well earned byes. Accordingly, the head coaches of those teams should not entail any problems with motivation as the victors stated their case as worthy opponents.


In the NFC, the Cowboys surely got the undivided attention of the Vikings players with another domination of the Philadelphia Eagles. The 'Boys followed their season ending masterpiece with an encore performance that may have been even more impressive. With memories of the Vikings and Saints late season failings, Dallas now appears to be the NFC team to beat and have vaulted up in the rankings.


Of course, a week of rest and "home dome advantage" provide an edge to the Vikings as they host the white-hot Cowboys. And, Minnesota was at least able to recover from a 3-game losing streak in December by crushing the disinterested Giants in the regular season finale, so the self doubt swirling in players heads may have been erased.


New Orleans had looked like the team to beat all season, but questions and concerns have emerged after its own 3-game reverse trifecta to close out the season. The NFL's most prolific offense wilted down the stretch and their defense showed some cracks.


Kurt Warner's and the Cardinals' playoff performance has Arizona fans buzzing about a repeat of last year's magical postseason run and Saints coaches feverishly studying game film. This week has the look of another shootout in New Orleans that could take 50 points again to win.


In Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers has made it easy for fans to forget Brett Favre. Rodgers has clearly arrived as a top flight NFL quarterback and although his team heads home for the winter, they made their case as the best team not still in the hunt. In fact, they are better than some of the teams still playing this weekend.


Like the Saints and Vikings, the Colts closed a highly successful regular season with a dismal finish. Head Coach Jim Caldwell elected to pull MVP Peyton Manning and the plug on a chance at perfection in Week 16. Although most players expressed support of their rookie coach, disappointment was plainly apparent. With the decision and a pair of losses, the excitement of chasing a special place in NFL history shifted to questions whether the team could overcome the nemesis Chargers?


After watching the Ravens dismantle "The Team of the Decade" in the first round, memories of previous season's early exits must be running through Colts players minds. Baltimore possesses a scary defense, a strong running game with the emergence of Ray Rice and a solid second year quarterback in Joe Flacco. A turnover here or there and 14 straight victories to start the season might be ancient history.


Although they ended the season with an 11-game winning streak and jumped to the top of our rankings, the Chargers realize that Sunday's game will be "no gimme." The Jets come to town full of Rex Ryan fueled adrenaline and a lock-down corner in Darrelle Revis who has the ability to disrupt an entire game plan. Charles Woodson had a great season, but Revis should have been the "Defensive Player of the Year."


Based on their lackluster playoff performances, the Eagles, Patriots and Bengals all fall in the rankings. The abrupt ending to their seasons and the manner in which it occurred, have all three heading into the off season with many questions to address. Meanwhile, the other first round loser, has "Cheese-Heads" already counting the days to training camp.



  1. Chargers (13-3)- Will be challenged by Jets Reves-led D
  2. Colts (14-2)- Can players move past disappointment?
  3. Cowboys(11-5)-Ho hum, another Philly route, Vikes next?
  4. Saints (13-3)-Looking to end losing ways with shootout
  5. Packers (11-5)-Best team out of the Super Bowl hunt
  6. Vikings (12-4)-Hoping home dome advantage slows 'Boys
  7. Ravens (9-7)- Can they repeat performance against Colts?
  8. Jets (9-7)- Ryan has them believing in New York with Reves
  9. Cardinals (10-6)-Spell "prolific"- W-A-R-N-E-R, need some D
  10. Eagles (11-5)-No more "do overs", season's over
  11. Patriots (10-6)-What happened to "The Team of the Decade?"
  12. Bengals (10-6)- Crashed after a promising start to season
  13. Steelers (9-7)- Pulled out another- but too little, too late
  14. Texans (9-7)- First winning season, but no postseason
  15. Falcons (9-7)- Strong finish to disappointing season

Thursday, January 7, 2010

NFL Power Rankings Top 15 Wild Card Weekend

Green Bay Packers v Arizona Cardinals
The regular season ended with some playoff teams peaking while others limped into the post season. Both the Saints and Colts ended what had been perfect seasons with losses, while the Chargers ran the table with 11 straight wins. As a result, the Bolts have moved to the top of our rankings while the other two wonder whether they can turn things around in the playoffs.

The Vikings ended their 3-game losing skein with the dismantling of a disinterested New York Giants team. Along the way, they regained the NFC's #2 seed when Dallas whitewashed an Eagles team that crashed and burned. Accordingly, the Vikings get a week of rest and then a divisional round playoff game in the Metrodome, while the Eagles need to travel back to "Big D" for a "do over."

The Patriots, Cardinals and Bengals all decided to take the safe route with little to gain. Unfortunately the Patriots lost the NFL's leading receiver when Wes Welker tore the ligaments in his knee. The Ravens and Jets took care of business to hold onto their AFC wild card slots.

The teams that are playing the best heading into the playoffs are the Chargers, Packers and Cowboys. As the Cardinals proved last year, though, that is not always the best predictor of post season success. While the Colts and Chargers appear to be the clear favorites in the AFC, it is conceivable that any of the 6 NFC teams could reach the Super Bowl.


  1. Chargers (13-3)- Could be team to beat after 11 straight wins
  2. Colts (14-2)- Lost momentum and disappointed players
  3. Saints (13-3)-Confidence down heading into playoffs
  4. Packers (11-5)-Played to win and keep momentum
  5. Vikings (12-4)- Giant destruction helps regain #2 seed
  6. Cowboys(11-5)-Feeling great as NFC East champs
  7. Eagles (11-5)-Total meltdown in Dallas, set for "do over"
  8. Patriots (10-6)-Loss of Welker will be very costly
  9. Cardinals (10-6)-Starters back might not be enough for Pack
  10. Ravens (9-7)- Have ingredients to be scary in playoffs
  11. Jets (9-7)- Great defense and good running game
  12. Bengals (10-6)- Rolled over in finale, but still strong D
  13. Steelers (9-7)- Pulled out another, but too little, too late
  14. Texans (9-7)- First winning season, but no post season
  15. Falcons (9-7)- Strong finish to disappointing season

Wednesday, January 6, 2010

The Grass is Greener on McNabb's Side

Dallas Cowboys v Philadelphia Eagles

There is no question, the Eagles had a thorough meltdown in their most important game of the regular season with the NFC East title and the #2 playoff seed on the line. Every player and coach shares responsibility for the lopsided loss that was ugly from all possible angles. Flawed game plans, failed execution, uninspired play, etc were all apt descriptions of the Eagles body of work in Dallas on Sunday.


Nothing escapes scrutiny. Of course, this comes with the territory, especially in possibly the most passionate, knowledgeable and opinionated sports towns in America. Eagles fans (including those who cover the team, but have to cloak their loyalty) are frustrated by the regrettable performance and the dangling carrot being pulled away yet again. And, strong, polarizing opinions help drive up ratings for sports radio hosts, sports writers and bloggers alike.


Which brings us to Donovan McNabb- the most successful, but much maligned Eagles quarterback. From the beginning to the end of Sunday's game, systemic failure in every phase of the team was abundantly clear, yet fans, talk show hosts and sports writers tend to fixate on McNabb. On Sunday, his transgressions ranged from overthrowing a 60-yard pass to DeSean Jackson to firing a bullet to the back shoulder of a wide open Jeremy Maclin to his body language on the field to his post game comments. Of course, the discussions involving McNabb typically digress to include indictments on his ability to win big games, his demeanor and his lack of accuracy.


Did McNabb have his best game? No, certainly not, but it would have looked pretty good statistically without the dropped passes, most likely upwards of 70% completion percentage and 300 yards with no interceptions. On the flip side, McNabb did misfire on a couple passes, fumbled a low snap, may have thrown away a couple balls before being sacked and never got the team into the end zone.


Of course, statistics are just that and often do not tell the whole story or can be misleading. However, it is interesting to see that McNabb's numbers would have been almost identical to Tony Romo's (who is being praised) and would have computed to a 97.0 rating. Lets take a closer look at the specific criticisms though.


Yes, McNabb did overthrow Jackson who was a step or two ahead of the Cowboys defender and a pass that hit him in stride would have likely resulted in a touchdown. He had time and a completion could have been a game changer. That being said, this must be tempered with acknowledgement that the ball was being thrown 60 yards down the field with large, muscle bound defenders racing in to plant him in the turf. There is a reason that the 2009 NFL average completion percentage for long range throws (26 yards or more) is roughly 25%- it simply is not that simple, even if the guy has a step or two. And, rightfully Jackson gets a great deal of accolades for his array of long scoring plays this season, but lets not forget that this also required McNabb to make some nice reads and throw some pretty passes.


Regarding the pass to Maclin that could have resulted in a large gain, it is true that the ball was thrown to his back shoulder and was a laser. It is a pass, though, that should be caught by an NFL receiver, albeit a rookie. Overall, Maclin has been a very good addition to the Eagles offense and has a bright future, but it is surely reasonable to expect a first round draft pick to make this play in the final game of the regular season. And, it is interesting that critics deploy a double standard as they argue McNabb should be able to flawlessly handle a low, knuckle ball snap, yet also pin the blame on him for not making a perfect pass to Maclin.


Many critics have taken exception to McNabb's body language and facial expressions during Sunday's one sided contest. As the game wore on and McNabb continued to try to ignite the offense to get them back in the game, players continued to drop passes and make mistakes that thwarted any momentum- and the frustration showed. This was true of McNabb, and surely Jackson as well. The same critics who took issue here, also praise players like Tom Brady, Peyton Manning and Philip Rivers for similarly animated unhappiness with their teammates when they do not execute. I have no problem with McNabb displaying frustration and would actually like to see him provide some more firm encouragement. Once again, it is interesting that not a word has been said about Brian Westbrook screaming at his teammates after the lackluster first half- because it was appropriate and needed.


Along similar lines, many jumped on McNabb for "throwing his teammates under the bus" by saying the team showed its youth in the game. First off, he had first taken accountability himself and then was answering this specific question. It was not as if he had introduced this concept on his own, but it is important to note that it appeared that Jackson and Maclin were not playing with the same level of confidence and were possibly even a little rattled. Jackson is obviously a big part of the Eagles retooled offense and did not have the usual swagger that has propelled him to the Pro Bowl in his second season. Both receivers were looking a little wide eyed, and if the Eagles want any chance to advance, they will need to get their mojo and make plays.


When it comes to post game questioning, it is interesting to note that the media is highly critical of Andy Reid's vague, pat answers to their inquiries. In this case, McNabb provided an honest answer to a direct question that was neither overly harsh or inaccurate. It is also implied within McNabb's comments that he also takes responsibility as the field general for the team "showing its youth" on Sunday. As the leader, he needs to encourage them, gently or more forcefully, to put any big game jitters aside and play to their full potential.


I think back to a similar scenario in the Eagles first Super Bowl appearance where the team appeared to be suffering collectively from a major case of stage fright. After finally shedding demons with a huge NFC Conference Championship win over the Cowboys, the same players who were flying around the field making plays two weeks earlier, were now playing not to make a mistake. I can recall desperately wanting some of the leaders to bark at their teammates to stoke their adrenaline to move them past the nerves and instill the intensity that got them to the game. There was no time to worry about feelings or appearances- the clock was ticking away.


After Sunday's dismantling, many are minimizing the Eagles record and 6 game winning streak saying that they played mediocre teams down the stretch and squeaked out some wins. Conversely, what I saw was McNabb doing some of his best work by more overtly asserting himself as the team leader and shouldering the load to overcome a depleted Eagles defensive unit. More simply put, he led the offense to outscore opponents and make the big plays in the 4th quarter to pull out victories.


Overall, critics want perfection from McNabb, essentially some hybrid Madden Football super hero. They want the best of Brady, Manning and Brett Favre all combined. Folks, these caliber quarterbacks are few and far between. The three named that are often used as the measuring stick are arguably 3 of the top 10 in the history of the NFL. Rather than acknowledge and enjoy that Donovan McNabb has been the best and most successful quarterback in the history of the Eagles organization, so many want to find fault with everything he does on and off the field.


Personally, I see the Eagles as fortunate to have McNabb behind center. It is also fortunate that both Reid and Jeffrey Lurie recognize this as well and do not succumb to sentiment to make a change. Is McNabb perfect? No, of course not, but he has been a huge part of the success that the team has had over the past decade. And, in this age of self promoting athletes and sometimes misguided behavior, I would be remiss not to recognize that McNabb has been a model citizen throughout his career.


Lets put it into perspective. The Eagles have made 5 of their 6 NFC Championship games and 1 of their 2 Super Bowl appearances under McNabb. In the Super Bowl era, they have a post season record of 9-6 with McNabb versus 5-10 in the 34 years prior to his career beginning. Take away the 2 years he was injured and did not complete the season, the Eagles have made the NFC title game 5 out of 8 years under him.


By my estimation, that is remarkable, especially when considering that most of those seasons he was surrounded by one of the lower echelon receiving corps in the league. And, although they each have 1 Super Bowl victory, it is worth noting that both Manning and Favre have worse post season records and career statistics than McNabb. You can look it up.


It is inevitable human nature to view the grass as greener on the other side of the fence. However, it seems clear to me that in this case, the grass is greener on McNabb's side of the fence. I do not know if the Eagles can get everything righted in order to pull off a dramatic reversal of fortune in Saturday's rematch, but I do know that they probably would not even be there if not for McNabb. Also, I like the team's chances much better with him behind center. It sure would be great, and much more of a boost to the Eagles's chances, if instead of piling on as the team heads into the post season, fans would show McNabb the love.



Saturday, January 2, 2010

NFL Power Rankings Top 15 Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles v Dallas Cowboys
While the NFC playoff teams are set, determination of the AFC post season participants continues to be a complex math equation. All the division winners have been determined with the exception of the NFC East, where Sunday's winner of the Eagles and Cowboys game in Dallas takes the crown. Seven AFC teams remain in the hunt for the two wild card spots.

Although they have lost two straight and momentum heading into the post season, New Orleans has clinched home field advantage in the NFC by virtue of their 13 wins. Their secret to success has been to use their top ranked offense and turnovers to keep their defense off the field, but struggle somewhat against teams that protect the ball well.

The next best team in the NFC appears to be the Eagles, who have weathered injuries to string together 6 consecutive wins and continue an upward ascent. Conversely, the Vikings continue to falter in the late season after looking to be a powerhouse. They have relinquished control of a first round bye with three December losses to the Eagles, who can take the NFC East and the #2 seed with a win in Dallas on Sunday.

Standing in their way is a Cowboys team that is playing its best ball of the season and gathering fans on its band wagon. Tony Romo is playing well and looking to shake the rap of coming up small when the games get bigger. They have extra motivation provided by the memory of last year's season ending crushing defeat by the Eagles that lost the division title and a playoff spot.

The most likely scenario is that the Packers contest with the Cardinals this week will be a preview of the first round playoff match-up. Arizona has an outside shot at moving up to the #2 or #3 seed, but both teams may choose to show little to their opponent and try to keep players fresh. All NFC teams have the ingredients to make a run in the post season.

In the AFC, the Colts and Chargers are the clear top teams. Indianapolis players seemed disappointed that their rookie coach opted to pull Peyton Manning and rest other players last week, which likely cost their undefeated season. They have been down this road before with the dilemma of whether to keep momentum or players healthy heading into the post season. Colts and Chargers players are also aware that the Chargers have had their number in the past.

Currently, the Jets and Ravens control their own destiny. The Ravens face the Raiders, whose season ending upset last season allowed the Eagles to squeak into the playoffs. The Jets square against the AFC North Division Champion Bengals, who have little to gain with a victory. After being the beneficiary of good fortune last week against the Colts, the Jets could find a similar scenario this week to help them get into the playoffs.

Of all the potential AFC wild card teams, the Steelers may be the most dangerous. They have a history of playing well in the new year as evidenced by the Lombardi Trophy sitting on the Rooney's mantle. They can still get in, but oddly might need help from the arch rival Bengals, which provides one more reason for them to rest players.

  1. Colts (14-1)- Poised to go undefeated, then Manning pulled
  2. Saints (13-2)-Looking mortal with 2nd straight loss
  3. Chargers (12-3)- 10 consecutive wins and have Colts #
  4. Eagles (11-4)-Hang on for 6th straight, showdown in Dallas
  5. Vikings (11-4)- Confidence diving with loss to Bears
  6. Packers (10-5)-Could do damage in playoffs
  7. Patriots (10-5)-Defense could be putting things together
  8. Cowboys(10-5)-Showdown in Dallas for NFC East title
  9. Cardinals (10-5)-Could be facing unique doubleheader
  10. Bengals (10-5)- Offense lagging behind 4th ranked D
  11. Steelers (8-7)- Finding ways to win and stay alive
  12. Ravens (8-7)- Let victory slip from their grasp vs Steelers
  13. Jets (8-7)- Could get boost into playoffs by resting rivals
  14. Broncos (8-7)- Likely out of playoffs with 2 wins after 6-0 start
  15. Texans (8-7)- Tough playoff odds as Pats need to win