Showing posts with label postseason. Show all posts
Showing posts with label postseason. Show all posts
Thursday, September 30, 2010
Philadelphia Phillies Championship Advantage No. 3: High Octane Offense
Part 3 of 7
Although the Phillies have a league-wide reputation as an offensive powerhouse, their numbers were down across the board this season. Appearances can be deceiving.
A peak at the rankings suggest that the Phillies might take a back seat to other playoff teams in terms of offensive output.
The Cincinnati Reds lead the National League in runs, batting average (.270), home runs (181), and slugging percentage (.434.)
Although in-season acquisitions have bolstered their run production, both the San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres are built around pitching. Similarly, the Atlanta Braves rely more on pitching than offense to win games.
Although the presence of the designated hitter makes comparisons between the two leagues difficult, all four American League clubs have posted impressive offensive statistics this season. The AL contenders have varying formulas, but each of them ranks in the top five in runs scored.
When it comes to the 2010 Philadelphia Phillies, though, the stat sheets don't tell the true story. Sometimes there is truth in the old adage "figures lie and liars figure"- and this is a prime example.
For the past several seasons, the Phillies reigned at the top of league rankings with their high octane offense.
The previous two seasons they placed first in home runs. Last year, they captured that distinction by a large margin, clubbing 34 more than the next National League team.
As further validation that the Phillies have been built for the long ball, they ranked one or two in slugging percentage over the past four campaigns.
And, in the true measure of offensive prowess, the Phils ranked first or second in runs scored each of the previous five seasons.
In 2010, Philadelphia's home run production currently sits 61 dingers behind that of a year ago. It is safe to say, regardless of any further exploits by Ben Francisco, John Mayberry or Mike Sweeney in the regular season's last three games, the final tally will be a very large drop-off.
After a strong stretch run, they have climbed the rankings a bit in runs scored, but will likely finish third.
Statistics and rankings aside, though, this is probably the team's most dangerous lineup in the current era of prosperity.
The recorded numbers mask the lineup's true offensive potential as well as the level of anxiety it stirs amongst opposing hurlers.
Just ask Jonathan Broxton.
The reason that the numbers seem not to align, of course, is simple-- Phillies regulars logged an inordinate amount of time in the training room this year.
The injury impact on the statistics has been two-fold. The most obvious has been the lost production associated with the roughly 200 games that regulars have not stepped on the playing field due to physical ailments.
And, then, when players returned to action, their productivity suffered from inactivity and an often compromised physical state. This was most notable with Ryan Howard, Chase Utely, and Jimmy Rollins as they struggled to regain their swings.
And, it would be remiss not to mention that Howard's stint on the DL and subsequent recovery non-fortuitously coincided with the stretch of season that has historically been his own personal fireworks display.
The way this season has gone, it would be foolish to rule out anymore physical setbacks. That notwithstanding, though, it is the Phillies' good fortune— and opponents' ill fortune— that the lineup is set to be intact for the postseason.
And, as good as the Reds hit all year, this Phillies lineup as it was conceived in the offseason is the gold standard.
It possesses the rare combination of game changing speed and power capable of alternately intimidating opposing hurlers while instilling confidence in its own.
Count this Phillies potent offense as another key October advantage. It appears poised to do some postseason damage.
Saturday, September 11, 2010
Philadelphia Phillies Poised For A Championship Run
The Philadelphia Phillies obstacle course of a season currently finds them one game up in the National League Eastern Division. The club's 2010 campaign has been akin to a season of The Amazing Race in terms of duration, complexity, and challenge.
An ongoing spate of injuries has kept the National League's best team on paper at less than full strength all season long. Key players revolved on the disabled list and often when back on the field, they found themselves still compromised by inactivity and less than full physical function.
The team's fortunes had taken such a nose dive that many were debating whether the Phillies should be "buyers" or "sellers" in the annual July swap meet. Some argued that it was time to concede to the injuries and team's diminished record, write the season off, and look towards next season.
To the Phillies players', coaches', and entire organization's credit— that did not happen. Everyone maintained a sense of calm, found a way to stay afloat, and even threw in a bold trade to acquire another marquee pitcher.
The payoff has been a slow, steady climb back to the top spot in the NL East after spending almost three months looking up at the Atlanta Braves. But just as the team was making the swap in standings, a few more warning flares appeared.
First, Brad Lidge's balky elbow caused the team to shut him down for a few days. Although he is just months removed from surgery to clean it up, both Lidge and the team remain optimistic that it is only a minor ailment that will not derail the Phillies closer.
Lidge has been a key cog in the team's resurgence and being counted on as an important element for the team's success. Since an ugly blown save against the Washington Nationals in late August, Lidge has done his best work since the 2008 World Series run.
Next, Gold Glove shortstop and team heartbeat Jimmy Rollins pulled up lame running the bases. Two previous stints on the DL with a calf injury already this season caused manager Charlie Manuel to immediately sit him down and now is listed as day-to-day.
The injury was indicated to be a hamstring strain. Both player and team remain optimistic that a short rest will nip the problem in the bud.
Other players such as Ryan Howard, Placido Polanco, and Chase Utley may not be 100 percent over the balance of the year, but that is the reality of the marathon that is Major League Baseball.
Continuing brushes with the injury bug highlight that a successful conclusion to the season is not all within the team's control. And, surely the other team's fighting for a postseason berth are not going to fade away easily.
The Braves lead baseball in comeback and walk-off wins.
The San Francisco Giants have the pitching and a bolstered offense to maintain their charge.
After a recent tailspin, the San Diego Padres are showing signs of a rebound. Strong pitching had produced the best record in the NL before their 10-game losing streak, and surely is capable of producing many wins again down the stretch.
The Colorado Rockies have launched their annual September surge. They are playing with the same strong sense of confidence that has propelled them past other teams in recent years when the games became more urgent.
Despite the keen competition, the Phillies are well positioned and poised to make another run to glory.
The Phillies offense has started to heat up as the original starting cast now populates the lineup and returning players find their groove. Hitting can be contagious and Howard appears to have his normal September offensive bug.
With an effective Lidge, a rested and sharp Ryan Madson, and an overall good supporting cast, the bullpen has moved from weakness to strength.
And, importantly, the starting staff is imposing— at least three out of five days.
Joe Blanton brought back memories of Adam Eaton through July, but has been 6-1 with a 3.37 ERA since. The remaining schedule may allow the team to bypass inconsistent fifth starter Kyle Kendrick.
The biggest source of optimism for the pennant stretch and postseason should they advance derives from the fact that Roy Halladay, Cole Hamels, and Roy Oswalt can outduel anyone.
Surely the games need to be won on the field, and a one game lead and a pack of hungry teams in pursuit of the playoffs will keep the heat on— but this Phillies team has the elements to win it all.
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